Tennis · Challenger Plovdiv · 04/09, 09:30
Prediction: Federico Iannaccone vs Maxim Mrva
Team pages: Federico Iannaccone · Maxim Mrva
Prediction summary
Winner
Federico Iannaccone
Maxim Mrva
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Federico Iannaccone
3-7 (W-L)
Maxim Mrva
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Federico Iannaccone
0–1
Maxim Mrva
(1 last)
- 12 Mar1-2 11-18L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Federico Iannaccone 1512 · Maxim Mrva 1609
| Federico Iannaccone | Maxim Mrva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 23% | 77% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maxim Mrva (rating 1512 vs 1609).
- Maxim Mrva is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Federico Iannaccone 0–1 Maxim Mrva (1).
- Note: Maxim Mrva makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Federico Iannaccone | Maxim Mrva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-10 | 12.2-9.7 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 3.7 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 4.6 |
| 1st serve % | 64% | 65.3% |
| Break % | 53.6% | 53.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
H2H · Federico Iannaccone 0 – 1 Maxim Mrva (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Federico Iannaccone 0–1 Maxim Mrva
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/03/26 Challenger Hersonissos | 1-2 | 11-18 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Federico Iannaccone
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Juan Estevez Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 31/08 | Peter Fajta Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 17-8 | W |
| 30/08 | Caheer Warik Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 24/08 | Oleksii Krutykh Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/08 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Michel Hopp M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-11 | L |
| 25/06 | Fausto Tabacco M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Stefano D'Agostino M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 15/06 | Petr Nesterov M25 Milano · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-13 | L |
| 19/05 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Cervia · Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
Maxim Mrva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Oleg Prihodko Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 20/08 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/08 | Nerman Fatic Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 16/08 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/08 | Alex Barrena Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/08 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 10/08 | Pierluigi Basile Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 05/08 | Guy Den Ouden Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Rudolf Molleker Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Federico Iannaccone vs Maxim Mrva?
Our model gives 71% to Maxim Mrva, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.