Tennis · Challenger Plovdiv · 04/09, 09:00
Prediction: Dusan Obradovic vs Thomas Faurel
Team pages: Dusan Obradovic · Thomas Faurel
Prediction summary
Winner
Dusan Obradovic
Thomas Faurel
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
Dusan Obradovic
5-5 (W-L)
Thomas Faurel
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dusan Obradovic 1530 · Thomas Faurel 1440
| Dusan Obradovic | Thomas Faurel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dusan Obradovic (rating 1530 vs 1440).
- Dusan Obradovic is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Dusan Obradovic | Thomas Faurel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-11.5 | 11.2-12.4 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 67.2% | 64.2% |
| Break % | 46.8% | 37.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dusan Obradovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 31/08 | Gabriele Piraino Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 16/08 | Matyas Cerny Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Sean Cuenin M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Kristijan Juhas M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 12/08 | Vlado Jankanj M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/08 | Lorenzo Comino M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 06/08 | Alexander Zgirovsky M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 9-4 | W |
| 05/08 | Vardan Manukyan M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 26/07 | Alex Marti Pujolras Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Thomas Faurel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Giorgio Tabacco Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 25/08 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Prague · Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 13/08 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Facundo Mena Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/07 | Timofey Skatov Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 20/07 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Zug · Clay |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 13/07 | Miguel Damas ATP Bastad · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 12/07 | Elmer Moller ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/07 | Jerome Kym Challenger Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 8-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dusan Obradovic vs Thomas Faurel?
Our model gives 56% to Thomas Faurel, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.