Tennis · Challenger Manacor · 03/09, 11:00
Prediction: Maks Kasnikowski vs Alejo Sanchez Quilez
Team pages: Maks Kasnikowski · Alejo Sanchez Quilez
Prediction summary
Winner
Maks Kasnikowski
Alejo Sanchez Quilez
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Maks Kasnikowski
5-5 (W-L)
Alejo Sanchez Quilez
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maks Kasnikowski 1505 · Alejo Sanchez Quilez 1591
| Maks Kasnikowski | Alejo Sanchez Quilez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alejo Sanchez Quilez (rating 1505 vs 1591).
- Alejo Sanchez Quilez is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Maks Kasnikowski | Alejo Sanchez Quilez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (6) | 100% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.2 | 1.6-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-11.7 | 12.1-9 |
| Aces | 4.5 | 4.4 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 70% | 71.7% |
| Break % | 33.4% | 48.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maks Kasnikowski
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Elmer Moller Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 25/08 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 06/08 | Ivan Marrero Curbelo Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 04/08 | Philip Henning Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/07 | Frederico Ferreira Silva Challenger Liberec · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 25/07 | Otto Virtanen Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/07 | Hynek Barton Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 22/07 | Eero Vasa Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/07 | Louis Wessels Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/07 | Francesco Passaro ATP Bastad · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
Alejo Sanchez Quilez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/08 | Izan Almazan Valiente M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/08 | Aryan Shah M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/08 | Andrea Colombo M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/08 | Goncalo Marques M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 03/08 | Rafael Izquierdo Luque M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/07 | Oliver Crawford Challenger Segovia · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Antoine Ghibaudo Challenger Segovia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/07 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Yanki Erel Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maks Kasnikowski vs Alejo Sanchez Quilez?
Our model gives 52% to Alejo Sanchez Quilez, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.