Tennis · Challenger Manacor · 03/09, 11:00
Prediction: Daniel Rincon vs Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Team pages: Daniel Rincon · Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Prediction summary
Winner
Daniel Rincon
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Daniel Rincon
3-7 (W-L)
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Daniel Rincon
0–1
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
(1 last)
- 01 Oct0-2 7-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daniel Rincon 1514 · Inaki Montes-De La Torre 1535
| Daniel Rincon | Inaki Montes-De La Torre | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Daniel Rincon dominates on serve: 6 aces and 42.2% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Daniel Rincon 0–1 Inaki Montes-De La Torre (1).
- Note: Inaki Montes-De La Torre makes many double faults (5.5/match).
Statistics
| Daniel Rincon | Inaki Montes-De La Torre | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | 83% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.4 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-14 | 9.6-10.9 |
| Aces | 6 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 5.5 |
| 1st serve % | 69.1% | 53% |
| Break % | 42.2% | 21.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
H2H · Daniel Rincon 0 – 1 Inaki Montes-De La Torre (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Daniel Rincon 0–1 Inaki Montes-De La Torre
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10/24 ITF M25 Zaragoza | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniel Rincon
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/08 | Tomas Barrios Vera US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Jordan Lee US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 24/08 | Titouan Droguet US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 04/08 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 27/07 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Challenger San Marino · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 22/07 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Zug · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 20/07 | Thomas Faurel Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 11/07 | Jan Choinski Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/07 | Laslo Djere Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 27/08 | George Loffhagen Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Jay Friend Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/08 | Gabi Adrian Boitan Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 24/08 | Oskari Paldanius Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 23/08 | Matt Ponchet Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/07 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Liberec · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Hynek Barton Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Lorenzo Angelini Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Kilian Feldbausch Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daniel Rincon vs Inaki Montes-De La Torre?
Our model gives 51% to Inaki Montes-De La Torre, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.