Tennis · Challenger Manacor · 03/09, 15:30
Prediction: Luca Potenza vs Joel Schwaerzler
Team pages: Luca Potenza · Joel Schwaerzler
Prediction summary
Winner
Luca Potenza
Joel Schwaerzler
Estimated games
23.8
Recent form · 10 last
Luca Potenza
6-4 (W-L)
Joel Schwaerzler
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luca Potenza 1522 · Joel Schwaerzler 1545
| Luca Potenza | Joel Schwaerzler | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Luca Potenza makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Luca Potenza | Joel Schwaerzler | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.6-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-12.4 | 13.6-13 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 6.3 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 64.6% | 74.9% |
| Break % | 38.3% | 34.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luca Potenza
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | David Jorda Sanchis Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 01/09 | Carl Emil Overbeck Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 31/08 | Daniel Masur Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 25/08 | Alec Deckers Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/08 | Aryan Shah M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 04/08 | Samuel Heredia M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 06/07 | Pietro Orlando Fellin Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 05/07 | Lorenzo Angelini Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 28/06 | Matthew William Donald Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Elmer Moller Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Joel Schwaerzler
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Max Basing Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 26/08 | Andrea Guerrieri US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 24/08 | Gustavo Heide US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 19/08 | Kenta Miyoshi Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Andy Andrade Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 09/08 | Andrea Guerrieri Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/08 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 07/08 | Ilya Ivashka Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/08 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 04/08 | Jiri Cizek Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luca Potenza vs Joel Schwaerzler?
Our model gives 65% to Joel Schwaerzler, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.