Tennis · Challenger Manacor · 03/09, 10:00
Prediction: Billy Harris vs Jay Friend
Team pages: Billy Harris · Jay Friend
Prediction summary
Winner
Billy Harris
Jay Friend
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Billy Harris
5-5 (W-L)
Jay Friend
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Billy Harris 1489 · Jay Friend 1550
| Billy Harris | Jay Friend | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jay Friend (rating 1489 vs 1550).
- Note: Jay Friend makes many double faults (5.4/match).
Statistics
| Billy Harris | Jay Friend | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (6) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-11.7 | 12.3-12 |
| Aces | 5.4 | 4.4 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 5.4 |
| 1st serve % | 69.2% | 69.3% |
| Break % | 26.3% | 25% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Billy Harris
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Hugo Grenier Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/08 | Toby Samuel US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 24/08 | Gonzalo Bueno US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/08 | Kyrian Jacquet ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 25/07 | Abedallah Shelbayh ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Dhakshineswar Suresh Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Karen Khachanov Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 16-23 | L |
| 25/06 | Yi Zhou Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 20-17 | W |
| 24/06 | Zsombor Piros Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/06 | Stefano Napolitano Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Jay Friend
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/08 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Michael Geerts Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/08 | Spencer Johnson Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Colton Smith Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 01/08 | Jeffrey John Wolf Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 31/07 | Benjamin Bonzi Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 19-18 | W |
| 30/07 | Toby Samuel Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/07 | Liam Broady Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 28/07 | Connor Church Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Billy Harris vs Jay Friend?
Our model gives 57% to Jay Friend, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.