Tennis · M15 Madrid · 03/09, 10:00
Prediction: Nikola Djukic Valera vs Pedro Rodenas
Team pages: Nikola Djukic Valera · Pedro Rodenas
Prediction summary
Winner
Nikola Djukic Valera
Pedro Rodenas
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Nikola Djukic Valera
5-5 (W-L)
Pedro Rodenas
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nikola Djukic Valera 1468 · Pedro Rodenas 1570
| Nikola Djukic Valera | Pedro Rodenas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 10% | 90% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pedro Rodenas (rating 1468 vs 1570).
- Pedro Rodenas is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Pedro Rodenas makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Nikola Djukic Valera | Pedro Rodenas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (4) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.1-11 | 12.8-8.5 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 62.5% | 67.7% |
| Break % | 48.2% | 48% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nikola Djukic Valera
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Asier Meneses Perny M15 Madrid |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Manel Lazaro Juncadella M25 Roda de Bara |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Lui Maxted M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Liam Hignett M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-9 | W |
| 09/06 | Samuel De Felipe Garcia M25 Martos · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/03 | Kuzey Cekirge M25 Badalona · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/02 | Pablo Aunion M15 Villena · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/02 | Sergi Perez Contri M15 Almoradi · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 11/02 | Alberto Garcia Garcia M15 Almoradi · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 10/02 | Vito Dell'Elba M15 Almoradi · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Pedro Rodenas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Sergi Fita Juan M15 Madrid |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/08 | Sergi Perez Contri M25 Oviedo |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 27/08 | Pedro Vives Marcos M25 Oviedo |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/08 | Alejandro Garcia M25 Oviedo |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 25/08 | Maxi Carrascosa Diaz M25 Oviedo |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/08 | Alejandro Juan Mano M25 Santander |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 18/08 | Tomas Curras Abasolo M25 Santander |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/07 | Carlos Lopez Montagud M15 Xativa |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Sergi Fita Juan M15 Xativa |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/07 | Marc Martin Roca M15 Xativa |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nikola Djukic Valera vs Pedro Rodenas?
Our model gives 78% to Pedro Rodenas, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.