Tennis · Challenger Como · 03/09, 10:00
Prediction: Jay Clarke vs Pedro Martinez
Team pages: Jay Clarke · Pedro Martinez
Prediction summary
Winner
Jay Clarke
Pedro Martinez
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Jay Clarke
8-2 (W-L)
Pedro Martinez
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jay Clarke 1490 · Pedro Martinez 1534
| Jay Clarke | Pedro Martinez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pedro Martinez (rating 1490 vs 1534).
- Note: Jay Clarke makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Jay Clarke | Pedro Martinez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (2) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.3 | 1.2-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.1-12.9 | 9.9-9.9 |
| Aces | 4.1 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 4 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 71.9% | 57.8% |
| Break % | 58.9% | 37.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jay Clarke
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Francesco Forti Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/08 | Rei Sakamoto US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 18/08 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Kingston · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 20/07 | Jerome Kym Challenger Zug · Clay |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Stijn Paardekooper M25 The Hague |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 08/07 | Mac Visser M25 The Hague |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/06 | Andrea Pellegrino Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 17/06 | Christopher O'Connell Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 15/06 | Tristan Boyer Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/06 | August Holmgren Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
Pedro Martinez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Daniil Glinka US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Valentin Royer Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/08 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 19/08 | Garrett Johns Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/08 | Evan Zhu Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/07 | Hugo Dellien Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Luciano Darderi ATP Estoril · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Henrique Rocha ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 19/07 | Timofey Skatov ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jay Clarke vs Pedro Martinez?
Our model gives 56% to Pedro Martinez, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.