Tennis · Challenger Como · 05/09, 17:30
Prediction: Johan Nikles vs Matej Dodig
Team pages: Johan Nikles · Matej Dodig
Prediction summary
Winner
Johan Nikles
Matej Dodig
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Johan Nikles
6-4 (W-L)
Matej Dodig
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Johan Nikles 1545 · Matej Dodig 1587
| Johan Nikles | Matej Dodig | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matej Dodig (rating 1545 vs 1587).
- Matej Dodig dominates on serve: 7.3 aces and 43.1% break avg.
Statistics
| Johan Nikles | Matej Dodig | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (9) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-10.8 | 13.3-10.4 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 7.3 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 65.2% | 77.9% |
| Break % | 41.8% | 43.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Johan Nikles
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Como · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 03/09 | Filip Cristian Jianu Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/09 | Olle Wallin Challenger Como · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 31/08 | Lorenzo Rottoli Challenger Como · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 30/08 | Kasra Rahmani Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Florent Lagarrigue M25 Lausanne |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 18/08 | Henry Bernet Challenger Sion · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Alex Barrena Challenger Bonn · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 27/07 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Amit Vales Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Matej Dodig
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Como · Clay |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 02/09 | Henry Bernet Challenger Como · Clay |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 31/08 | Mili Poljicak Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/08 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Rudolf Molleker Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/08 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/08 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Hagen · Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 04/08 | Stefano Travaglia Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/08 | Oleksii Krutykh Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/08 | Jannik Opitz Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Johan Nikles vs Matej Dodig?
Our model gives 69% to Matej Dodig, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.