Tennis · Challenger Como · 04/09, 10:00

Prediction: Max Schoenhaus vs Matej Dodig

Team pages: Max Schoenhaus · Matej Dodig

Prediction summary
Winner
42% 58%
Max Schoenhaus Matej Dodig
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Max Schoenhaus 6-4 (W-L)
LWLLWLWWWW
Matej Dodig 7-3 (W-L)
LWWWWWWLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Max Schoenhaus 1486 · Matej Dodig 1563
Max SchoenhausMatej Dodig
Our model39%61%
Market44%56%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matej Dodig (rating 1486 vs 1563).
  • Matej Dodig is in better form: 70% recent wins.

Statistics

Max SchoenhausMatej Dodig
Win %40%70%
Win % · Clay 40% (10) 70% (10)
Sets (G-P)1-1.31.5-0.7
Games (G-P)11-11.212.4-10.1
Aces5.36.4
Double faults2.61.7
1st serve %69.6%76.4%
Break %34.1%37%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Max Schoenhaus

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/09 Gonzalo Bueno
Challenger Como · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
31/08 Alvaro Guillen Meza
Challenger Como · Clay
2-1 18-10 W
26/08 Daniel Masur
Challenger Augsburg · Clay
1-2 15-18 L
24/08 Mili Poljicak
Challenger Augsburg · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
12/08 Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Challenger Hamburg · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
04/08 Marko Topo
Challenger Hagen · Clay
1-2 16-18 L
28/07 Federico Agustin Gomez
Challenger Bonn · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
15/07 Max Houkes
Challenger Bunschoten · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
13/07 Andres Santamarta Roig
Challenger Bunschoten · Clay
2-0 13-6 W
08/07 Laslo Djere
Challenger Braunschweig · Clay
0-2 9-13 L

Matej Dodig

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/09 Henry Bernet
Challenger Como · Clay
2-1 20-18 W
31/08 Mili Poljicak
Challenger Como · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
15/08 Marvin Moeller
Challenger Hamburg · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
13/08 Rudolf Molleker
Challenger Hamburg · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
11/08 Denis Yevseyev
Challenger Hamburg · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
06/08 Lorenzo Giustino
Challenger Hagen · Clay
1-2 17-18 L
04/08 Stefano Travaglia
Challenger Hagen · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
03/08 Oleksii Krutykh
Challenger Hagen · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
02/08 Jannik Opitz
Challenger Hagen · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
14/07 Pablo Carreno Busta
ATP Umag · Clay
0-2 6-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Max Schoenhaus vs Matej Dodig?

Our model gives 58% to Matej Dodig, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.