Tennis · Challenger Como · 04/09, 14:00

Prediction: Duje Ajdukovic vs Jay Clarke

Team pages: Duje Ajdukovic · Jay Clarke

Prediction summary
Winner
45% 55%
Duje Ajdukovic Jay Clarke
Estimated games
24.8
Recent form · 10 last
Duje Ajdukovic 5-5 (W-L)
LLWWLLLWWW
Jay Clarke 8-2 (W-L)
WWWWLWLWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Duje Ajdukovic 1477 · Jay Clarke 1483
Duje AjdukovicJay Clarke
Our model49%51%
Market42%58%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Duje AjdukovicJay Clarke
Win %40%40%
Win % · Clay 40% (10) 67% (3)
Sets (G-P)1-1.41.4-1.3
Games (G-P)11.7-13.214-13.1
Aces3.63.9
Double faults2.33.9
1st serve %68.1%70.7%
Break %36.2%58.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 24.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Duje Ajdukovic

LLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/09 Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
Challenger Como · Clay
2-1 18-15 W
01/09 Raul Brancaccio
Challenger Como · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
11/08 Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
Challenger Todi · Clay
1-2 14-16 L
30/07 Kilian Feldbausch
Challenger Liberec · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
20/07 Gauthier Onclin
Challenger Tampere · Clay
0-2 7-13 L
11/07 Marco Cecchinato
ATP Umag · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
25/06 Sumit Nagal
Challenger Targu Mures · Clay
1-2 15-16 L
24/06 Franco Agamenone
Challenger Targu Mures · Clay
2-0 14-10 W
23/06 Radu Albot
Challenger Targu Mures · Clay
2-1 17-18 W
15/06 Dalibor Svrcina
Challenger Poznan · Clay
0-2 6-12 L

Jay Clarke

LLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/09 Pedro Martinez
Challenger Como · Clay
2-1 16-15 W
01/09 Francesco Forti
Challenger Como · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
25/08 Rei Sakamoto
US Open · Hard
1-2 13-16 L
18/08 Clement Chidekh
Challenger Kingston · Hard
1-2 13-16 L
20/07 Jerome Kym
Challenger Zug · Clay
1-2 14-13 L
09/07 Stijn Paardekooper
M25 The Hague
1-2 14-16 L
08/07 Mac Visser
M25 The Hague
2-0 13-8 W
22/06 Andrea Pellegrino
Wimbledon · Grass
1-2 16-15 L
17/06 Christopher O'Connell
Challenger Nottingham · Grass
1-2 16-17 L
15/06 Tristan Boyer
Challenger Nottingham · Grass
2-0 13-9 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Duje Ajdukovic vs Jay Clarke?

Our model gives 55% to Jay Clarke, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.