Tennis · Challenger Manacor · 02/09, 10:00
Prediction: Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs Jay Friend
Team pages: Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida · Jay Friend
Prediction summary
Winner
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Jay Friend
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
5-5 (W-L)
Jay Friend
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida 1555 · Jay Friend 1535
| Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | Jay Friend | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 49% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Jay Friend makes many double faults (5.4/match).
Statistics
| Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | Jay Friend | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.2-11.2 | 12.2-11.3 |
| Aces | 2 | 4.8 |
| Double faults | 2 | 5.4 |
| 1st serve % | 76.2% | 70.6% |
| Break % | 49.8% | 25.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Marek Gengel Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 31/08 | Christian Langmo Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/08 | Oliver Tarvet Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Oliver Tarvet Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 18/08 | Peter Makk Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/08 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 14/08 | Dylan Dietrich Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 12/08 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/08 | Florian Broska Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 31/07 | Federico Agustin Gomez Challenger Bonn · Clay |
1-2 | 17-16 | L |
Jay Friend
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Michael Geerts Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/08 | Spencer Johnson Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Colton Smith Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 01/08 | Jeffrey John Wolf Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 31/07 | Benjamin Bonzi Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 19-18 | W |
| 30/07 | Toby Samuel Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/07 | Liam Broady Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 28/07 | Connor Church Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/07 | Hiroki Moriya Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs Jay Friend?
Our model gives 50% to Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.