Tennis · Challenger Manacor · 02/09, 10:00
Prediction: Mark Lajal vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Team pages: Mark Lajal · Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Prediction summary
Winner
Mark Lajal
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Mark Lajal
6-4 (W-L)
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mark Lajal 1555 · Nicolai Budkov Kjaer 1467
| Mark Lajal | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mark Lajal (rating 1555 vs 1467).
- Mark Lajal dominates on serve: 8.5 aces and 41.3% break avg.
- Mark Lajal is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Mark Lajal makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Mark Lajal | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 0.7-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-9.9 | 10.6-13 |
| Aces | 8.5 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 4.9 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 75.7% | 63.7% |
| Break % | 41.3% | 26.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mark Lajal
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Gabi Adrian Boitan Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/08 | Motoharu Abe Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/08 | Jordan Lee US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 14/08 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Aleksandar Vukic ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 13/08 | Dalibor Svrcina ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 02/08 | Jeffrey John Wolf Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 01/08 | Keegan Rice Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/07 | Braden Shick Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/07 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Christopher O'Connell US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Maks Kasnikowski US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 20/08 | Jesper De Jong Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Bu Yunchaokete Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/08 | Kyrian Jacquet ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Hugo Gaston ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 01/08 | Sho Shimabukuro ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Andrea Pellegrino ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Otto Virtanen Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 19-23 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mark Lajal vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer?
Our model gives 58% to Mark Lajal, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.