Tennis · Challenger Manacor · 02/09, 10:00
Prediction: Ivan Ivanov vs Maximus Jones
Team pages: Ivan Ivanov · Maximus Jones
Prediction summary
Winner
Ivan Ivanov
Maximus Jones
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Ivan Ivanov
5-5 (W-L)
Maximus Jones
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ivan Ivanov 1490 · Maximus Jones 1518
| Ivan Ivanov | Maximus Jones | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Maximus Jones dominates on serve: 7.1 aces and 55.5% break avg.
Statistics
| Ivan Ivanov | Maximus Jones | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-11.2 | 11.8-11.4 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 7.1 |
| Double faults | 2 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 58.3% | 72.4% |
| Break % | 38.3% | 55.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ivan Ivanov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | George Loffhagen Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Ryan Peniston Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 18/08 | Elmer Moller Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Ognjen Milic Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Carl Emil Overbeck M25 Gentofte |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Patrik Munkhammar M25 Gentofte |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/07 | Sebastian Grundtvig Jorgensen M25 Gentofte |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/07 | Gustav Theilgaard M25 Gentofte |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/07 | Oliver Crawford Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 14/07 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 16-17 | W |
Maximus Jones
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Oskari Paldanius Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 31/08 | Alastair Gray Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 04/07 | Matthew Dellavedova M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 03/07 | Kokoro Isomura M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 02/07 | Ryota Tanuma M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 01/07 | Makoto Ochi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 17/06 | Hunter Heck M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Jangjun Kim M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/05 | Mukund Sasikumar Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 14/05 | Philip Sekulic Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ivan Ivanov vs Maximus Jones?
Our model gives 54% to Maximus Jones, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.