Tennis · Challenger Manacor · 02/09, 10:00
Prediction: Inaki Montes-De La Torre vs Mathys Erhard
Team pages: Inaki Montes-De La Torre · Mathys Erhard
Prediction summary
Winner
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Mathys Erhard
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
3-7 (W-L)
Mathys Erhard
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
2–0
Mathys Erhard
(2 last)
- 24 Jun2-1 15-12W
- 29 Jan2-0 12-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Inaki Montes-De La Torre 1539 · Mathys Erhard 1569
| Inaki Montes-De La Torre | Mathys Erhard | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Mathys Erhard dominates on serve: 7.1 aces and 53.5% break avg.
- Mathys Erhard is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Inaki Montes-De La Torre 2–0 Mathys Erhard (2).
- Note: Inaki Montes-De La Torre makes many double faults (5.7/match).
Statistics
| Inaki Montes-De La Torre | Mathys Erhard | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (5) | 83% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.8-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.4-10.3 | 14.3-10.2 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 7.1 |
| Double faults | 5.7 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 47% | 76% |
| Break % | 15.7% | 53.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
H2H · Inaki Montes-De La Torre 2 – 0 Mathys Erhard (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Inaki Montes-De La Torre 2–0 Mathys Erhard
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06/26 Challenger Plovdiv | 2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 29/01/26 Challenger Oeiras | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | George Loffhagen Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Jay Friend Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/08 | Gabi Adrian Boitan Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 24/08 | Oskari Paldanius Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 23/08 | Matt Ponchet Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/07 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Liberec · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Hynek Barton Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Lorenzo Angelini Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Kilian Feldbausch Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Maxime Chazal Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Mathys Erhard
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Charles Broom Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 31/08 | Anton Shepp Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 08/08 | Joel Schwaerzler Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 07/08 | Ivan Marrero Curbelo Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/08 | Damir Dzumhur Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/08 | Olaf Pieczkowski Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 26/07 | Filip Jeff Planinsek M25 Ollersbach |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 25/07 | Andrej Martin M25 Ollersbach |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/07 | Jan Kumstat M25 Ollersbach |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 23/07 | Thilo Behrmann M25 Ollersbach |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Inaki Montes-De La Torre vs Mathys Erhard?
Our model gives 52% to Inaki Montes-De La Torre, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.