Tennis · Challenger Manacor · 02/09, 10:00
Prediction: Luca Potenza vs David Jorda Sanchis
Team pages: Luca Potenza · David Jorda Sanchis
Prediction summary
Winner
Luca Potenza
David Jorda Sanchis
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Luca Potenza
6-4 (W-L)
David Jorda Sanchis
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Luca Potenza
0–1
David Jorda Sanchis
(1 last)
- 02 Nov0-2 8-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luca Potenza 1508 · David Jorda Sanchis 1452
| Luca Potenza | David Jorda Sanchis | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Luca Potenza (rating 1508 vs 1452).
- Head-to-head: Luca Potenza 0–1 David Jorda Sanchis (1).
- Note: David Jorda Sanchis makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Luca Potenza | David Jorda Sanchis | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 43% (7) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 0.7-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-11.5 | 9.6-12.6 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 3.9 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 66.1% | 68.8% |
| Break % | 37.6% | 38.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
H2H · Luca Potenza 0 – 1 David Jorda Sanchis (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Luca Potenza 0–1 David Jorda Sanchis
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11/18 ITF Tunisia F38 | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luca Potenza
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Carl Emil Overbeck Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 31/08 | Daniel Masur Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 25/08 | Alec Deckers Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/08 | Aryan Shah M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 04/08 | Samuel Heredia M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 06/07 | Pietro Orlando Fellin Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 05/07 | Lorenzo Angelini Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 28/06 | Matthew William Donald Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Elmer Moller Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Kaito Uesugi Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
David Jorda Sanchis
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Dusan Lajovic US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 25/08 | Henri Squire US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 18/08 | Alan Magadan Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 11/08 | Jack Pinnington Jones Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 18/07 | Pedro Martinez ATP Estoril · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Max Houkes Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Milan · Clay |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 30/06 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/06 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luca Potenza vs David Jorda Sanchis?
Our model gives 50% to Luca Potenza, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.