Tennis · M15 Madrid · 02/09, 10:00

Prediction: Rafael De Alba vs Samuel De Felipe Garcia

Team pages: Rafael De Alba · Samuel De Felipe Garcia

Prediction summary
Winner
44% 56%
Rafael De Alba Samuel De Felipe Garcia
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Rafael De Alba 2-8 (W-L)
LWLLLLLLLW
Samuel De Felipe Garcia 3-7 (W-L)
WWLLLWLLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Rafael De Alba 1445 · Samuel De Felipe Garcia 1462
Rafael De AlbaSamuel De Felipe Garcia
Our model48%52%
Market41%59%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Rafael De AlbaSamuel De Felipe Garcia
Win %30%40%
Win % · Hard 33% (9) 67% (3)
Sets (G-P)0.7-1.60.9-1.3
Games (G-P)7.7-128.9-10.3
Aces1.32
Double faults3.63.1
1st serve %59%62.9%
Break %33%45.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rafael De Alba

WLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/07 Aditya Balsekar
M15 Huamantla · ~Hard
1-2 13-17 L
21/07 Alvin Nicholas Tudorica
M15 Huamantla · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
07/07 Nav Dayal
M15 Rancho Santa Fe
0-2 3-12 L
02/07 Theodore Dean
M15 San Diego · ~Hard
0-2 7-12 L
01/07 Youssef Kadiri Hassani
M15 San Diego · ~Hard
2-1 13-13 W
11/06 Maxwell McKennon
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
0-2 1-12 L
10/06 Muzammil Murtaza
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-1 14-12 W
04/06 Dimitris Azoidis
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
0-2 7-13 L
03/06 Haydar Cem Gokpinar
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
28/05 Stefan Cooper
M15 Kayseri · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L

Samuel De Felipe Garcia

WLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/08 Ivan Gakhov
M25 Oviedo
0-2 4-12 L
25/08 Xavi Palomar
M25 Oviedo
2-1 16-14 W
17/08 Fernando Fontan Pardo De Santayana
M25 Santander
0-2 5-12 L
16/07 Goncalo Marques
M15 Castelo Branco
0-2 4-12 L
15/07 Marcos Castro Fabra
M15 Castelo Branco
2-0 12-4 W
13/07 Francisco Faria
M15 Castelo Branco
0-2 11-14 L
23/06 Jeffrey Fradkin
M25 Porto
1-2 10-8 L
11/06 Dan Added
M25 Martos · ~Hard
0-2 1-12 L
10/06 Jose Dominguez Alonso
M25 Martos · ~Hard
2-0 13-7 W
09/06 Nikola Djukic Valera
M25 Martos · ~Hard
2-0 13-8 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rafael De Alba vs Samuel De Felipe Garcia?

Our model gives 56% to Samuel De Felipe Garcia, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.