Tennis · Challenger Como · 03/09, 10:00
Prediction: Matej Dodig vs Henry Bernet
Team pages: Matej Dodig · Henry Bernet
Prediction summary
Winner
Matej Dodig
Henry Bernet
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Matej Dodig
8-2 (W-L)
Henry Bernet
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matej Dodig 1546 · Henry Bernet 1537
| Matej Dodig | Henry Bernet | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Henry Bernet dominates on serve: 7.2 aces and 48.7% break avg.
- Note: Henry Bernet makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Matej Dodig | Henry Bernet | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.7-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-10 | 13.7-10.3 |
| Aces | 5.9 | 7.2 |
| Double faults | 2 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 75.6% | 79.6% |
| Break % | 38.4% | 48.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matej Dodig
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Mili Poljicak Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/08 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Rudolf Molleker Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/08 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/08 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Hagen · Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 04/08 | Stefano Travaglia Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/08 | Oleksii Krutykh Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/08 | Jannik Opitz Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/07 | Pablo Carreno Busta ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
Henry Bernet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Andrey Chepelev M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/08 | Adrien Burdet M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/08 | Oleksandr Ovcharenko M25 Lausanne |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 27/08 | Blu Baker M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/08 | Marko Maric M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/08 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Sion · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 18/08 | Johan Nikles Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/07 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Zug · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 11/07 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 10/07 | Federico Bondioli Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matej Dodig vs Henry Bernet?
Our model gives 57% to Matej Dodig, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.