Tennis · Challenger Plovdiv · 02/09, 10:00
Prediction: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Oleksandr Ovcharenko
Team pages: Pol Martin Tiffon · Oleksandr Ovcharenko
Prediction summary
Winner
Pol Martin Tiffon
Oleksandr Ovcharenko
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Pol Martin Tiffon
6-4 (W-L)
Oleksandr Ovcharenko
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pol Martin Tiffon 1515 · Oleksandr Ovcharenko 1572
| Pol Martin Tiffon | Oleksandr Ovcharenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oleksandr Ovcharenko (rating 1515 vs 1572).
Statistics
| Pol Martin Tiffon | Oleksandr Ovcharenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 57% (7) | 83% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-11.1 | 11.4-9.2 |
| Aces | 3.7 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 71.8% | 75.1% |
| Break % | 28.4% | 42.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pol Martin Tiffon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Juan Pablo Ficovich Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 24/08 | Tom Gentzsch US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Gilles Arnaud Bailly Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 29/05 | Chun Hsin Tseng Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 28/05 | Joel Schwaerzler Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 26/05 | Pietro Orlando Fellin Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 21/05 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Istanbul · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 18/05 | Yannick Theodor Alexandrescou Challenger Istanbul · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/05 | Jay Clarke Challenger Tunis · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Oleksandr Ovcharenko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Robert Strombachs Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 31/08 | Franco Ribero Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/08 | Edoardo Cherie Ligniere Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/08 | Henry Bernet M25 Lausanne |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 27/08 | Felix Seres M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/08 | Arthur Laborde M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/08 | Benjamin Hassan Challenger Sion · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/08 | Dimitris Sakellaridis Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 16/08 | Petros Tsitsipas Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/08 | Matthew William Donald M25 Muttenz |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pol Martin Tiffon vs Oleksandr Ovcharenko?
Our model gives 59% to Pol Martin Tiffon, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.