Tennis · Challenger Como · 02/09, 10:00

Prediction: Gonzalo Bueno vs Max Schoenhaus

Team pages: Gonzalo Bueno · Max Schoenhaus

Prediction summary
Winner
51% 49%
Gonzalo Bueno Max Schoenhaus
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Gonzalo Bueno 5-5 (W-L)
LWWWLLWLLW
Max Schoenhaus 6-4 (W-L)
WLWLLWLWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gonzalo Bueno 1548 · Max Schoenhaus 1487
Gonzalo BuenoMax Schoenhaus
Our model59%41%
Market44%56%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gonzalo Bueno (rating 1548 vs 1487).

Statistics

Gonzalo BuenoMax Schoenhaus
Win %60%40%
Win % · Clay 67% (6) 40% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.2-0.91-1.3
Games (G-P)9.5-9.711-11.4
Aces0.55.6
Double faults22.1
1st serve %65.8%71.1%
Break %40.2%28.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gonzalo Bueno

WWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
31/08 Joao Lucas Reis da Silva
Challenger Como · Clay
2-0 13-7 W
24/08 Billy Harris
US Open · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
20/08 Valentin Royer
Challenger Kingston · Hard
0-2 2-12 L
19/08 Edward Winter
Challenger Kingston · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
18/08 Benjamin Willwerth
Challenger Kingston · Hard
2-1 15-10 W
02/08 Jan Kumstat
Challenger Liberec · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
01/08 Norbert Gombos
Challenger Liberec · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
30/07 Hynek Barton
Challenger Liberec · Clay
2-0 14-10 W
28/07 Pablo Martinez Gomez
Challenger Liberec · Clay
2-0 13-10 W
23/07 Jaime Faria
ATP Estoril · Clay
0-2 6-12 L

Max Schoenhaus

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
31/08 Alvaro Guillen Meza
Challenger Como · Clay
2-1 18-10 W
26/08 Daniel Masur
Challenger Augsburg · Clay
1-2 15-18 L
24/08 Mili Poljicak
Challenger Augsburg · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
12/08 Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Challenger Hamburg · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
04/08 Marko Topo
Challenger Hagen · Clay
1-2 16-18 L
28/07 Federico Agustin Gomez
Challenger Bonn · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
15/07 Max Houkes
Challenger Bunschoten · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
13/07 Andres Santamarta Roig
Challenger Bunschoten · Clay
2-0 13-6 W
08/07 Laslo Djere
Challenger Braunschweig · Clay
0-2 9-13 L
07/07 Roman Andres Burruchaga
Challenger Braunschweig · Clay
2-0 12-6 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gonzalo Bueno vs Max Schoenhaus?

Our model gives 51% to Gonzalo Bueno, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.