Tennis · M15 Madrid · 02/09, 10:00
Prediction: Sergi Fita Juan vs Pedro Rodenas
Team pages: Sergi Fita Juan · Pedro Rodenas
Prediction summary
Winner
Sergi Fita Juan
Pedro Rodenas
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Sergi Fita Juan
3-7 (W-L)
Pedro Rodenas
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Sergi Fita Juan
0–2
Pedro Rodenas
(2 last)
- 30 Jul0-2 4-12L
- 22 Jul0-2 5-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sergi Fita Juan 1503 · Pedro Rodenas 1556
| Sergi Fita Juan | Pedro Rodenas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pedro Rodenas (rating 1503 vs 1556).
- Head-to-head: Sergi Fita Juan 0–2 Pedro Rodenas (2).
- Note: Pedro Rodenas makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Sergi Fita Juan | Pedro Rodenas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-11.1 | 12.4-9.4 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 5 |
| 1st serve % | 60.7% | 65.4% |
| Break % | 44.6% | 47.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
H2H · Sergi Fita Juan 0 – 2 Pedro Rodenas (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sergi Fita Juan 0–2 Pedro Rodenas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07/26 M15 Xativa | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/07/26 M25 Denia | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sergi Fita Juan
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Carles Cordoba M25 Oviedo |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 21/08 | Alejandro Juan Mano M25 Santander |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Pedro Vives Marcos M25 Santander |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 18/08 | Jordi Garcia Mestre M25 Santander |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 30/07 | Pedro Rodenas M15 Xativa |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Bernardo Munk Mesa M15 Xativa |
2-0 | 8-4 | W |
| 22/07 | Pedro Rodenas M25 Denia |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Eric Vanshelboim M25 Gandia |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 16/07 | Andrey Chepelev M25 Gandia |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 15/07 | Adam Lynch M25 Gandia |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Pedro Rodenas
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Sergi Perez Contri M25 Oviedo |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 27/08 | Pedro Vives Marcos M25 Oviedo |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/08 | Alejandro Garcia M25 Oviedo |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 25/08 | Maxi Carrascosa Diaz M25 Oviedo |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/08 | Alejandro Juan Mano M25 Santander |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 18/08 | Tomas Curras Abasolo M25 Santander |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/07 | Carlos Lopez Montagud M15 Xativa |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Sergi Fita Juan M15 Xativa |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/07 | Marc Martin Roca M15 Xativa |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/07 | Pavel Lagutin M25 Denia |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sergi Fita Juan vs Pedro Rodenas?
Our model gives 69% to Pedro Rodenas.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.