Tennis · M15 Madrid · 01/09, 11:30
Prediction: Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez vs Daniel Lara Salmeron
Team pages: Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez · Daniel Lara Salmeron
Prediction summary
Winner
Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez
Daniel Lara Salmeron
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez
5-5 (W-L)
Daniel Lara Salmeron
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez 1553 · Daniel Lara Salmeron 1414
| Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez | Daniel Lara Salmeron | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 31% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez (rating 1553 vs 1414).
- Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez makes many double faults (4.5/match).
- Note: Daniel Lara Salmeron makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez | Daniel Lara Salmeron | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 86% (7) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 0.5-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-10.2 | 7.5-11.6 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 4.5 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 64.3% | 58.7% |
| Break % | 33.5% | 28.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Alejandro Juan Mano M25 Oviedo |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Andrea Paolini M15 Targu Jiu |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Yuto Oki M15 Targu Jiu |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/08 | Francesco Ferrari M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/08 | Zdenek Derkas UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/08 | Tomas Zlatohlavek UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 31/07 | Filip Soderqvist UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
2-1 | 19-18 | W |
| 30/07 | Nikola Keremedchiev UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 29/07 | Merse Deli UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/07 | Botond Nagy UTR Pro Budapest · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Daniel Lara Salmeron
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Sasa Markovic M25 Pitesti |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Dan Added M25 Roda de Bara |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Alvaro Jimenez M25 Roda de Bara |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Sebastian Dominko M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Robin Catry M15 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 27/05 | Kirill Mishkin M15 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 25/05 | Yauheni Bursau M15 Kutaisi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/04 | Calvin Hemery Challenger Madrid · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/03 | Adria Velazquez Farre M15 Torello · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/12 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez ITF M15 Madrid · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez vs Daniel Lara Salmeron?
Our model gives 78% to Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.