Tennis · Challenger Plovdiv · 01/09, 09:00
Prediction: Nikita Mashtakov vs Stefan Popovic
Team pages: Nikita Mashtakov · Stefan Popovic
Prediction summary
Winner
Nikita Mashtakov
Stefan Popovic
Estimated games
23.4
Recent form · 10 last
Nikita Mashtakov
6-4 (W-L)
Stefan Popovic
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nikita Mashtakov 1615 · Stefan Popovic 1521
| Nikita Mashtakov | Stefan Popovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nikita Mashtakov (rating 1615 vs 1521).
- Nikita Mashtakov is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Nikita Mashtakov | Stefan Popovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (2) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.8 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.7-11.3 | 10.7-10.4 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 65.1% | 59% |
| Break % | 45.8% | 45.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nikita Mashtakov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Jannik Opitz Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/08 | Valentin Basel Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 29/08 | Daniel Michalski M25 Poznan |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/08 | Vladyslav Orlov M25 Poznan |
2-1 | 18-8 | W |
| 27/08 | Kirill Kivattsev M25 Poznan |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 26/08 | Tom Zeuch M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/08 | Thilo Behrmann M15 Mistelbach |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 22/08 | Marcel Zielinski M15 Mistelbach |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 21/08 | Alexander Wagner M15 Mistelbach |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 20/08 | Kabeer Kapasi M15 Mistelbach |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Stefan Popovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Aleksandar Tolev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/08 | Kaloyan Shikov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 27/08 | Sebastian Dominko M25 Maribor |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Piotr Galus M25 Maribor |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/08 | Luca Castagnola M25 Slovenj Gradec |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 18/08 | Bruno Fernandez M25 Slovenj Gradec |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/08 | Bor Artnak M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Oscar Brown M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/07 | Max Houkes M25 Metzingen |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 04/07 | Vladyslav Orlov M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nikita Mashtakov vs Stefan Popovic?
Our model gives 62% to Nikita Mashtakov, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.