Tennis · Challenger Como · 01/09, 10:00
Prediction: Francesco Forti vs Jay Clarke
Team pages: Francesco Forti · Jay Clarke
Prediction summary
Winner
Francesco Forti
Jay Clarke
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Francesco Forti
4-6 (W-L)
Jay Clarke
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Francesco Forti
0–1
Jay Clarke
(1 last)
- 17 May0-2 9-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Francesco Forti 1503 · Jay Clarke 1477
| Francesco Forti | Jay Clarke | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 49% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Francesco Forti 0–1 Jay Clarke (1).
- Note: Jay Clarke makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Francesco Forti | Jay Clarke | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 56% (9) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.4-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-9.4 | 14.1-12.8 |
| Aces | 4 | 4.6 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 68.3% | 74.1% |
| Break % | 34.5% | 56.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
H2H · Francesco Forti 0 – 1 Jay Clarke (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Francesco Forti 0–1 Jay Clarke
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/23 M25 Reggio Emilia | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Francesco Forti
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Giorgio Ricca Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/08 | Andrea De Marchi M25 Lesa |
0-2 | 6-9 | L |
| 12/08 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Michele Mecarelli Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 29/07 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Federico Coria Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/07 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger San Marino · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 26/07 | Federico Zeballos Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/07 | Peter Makk Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Pietro Pampanin Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Jay Clarke
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Rei Sakamoto US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 18/08 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Kingston · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 20/07 | Jerome Kym Challenger Zug · Clay |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Stijn Paardekooper M25 The Hague |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 08/07 | Mac Visser M25 The Hague |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/06 | Andrea Pellegrino Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 17/06 | Christopher O'Connell Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 15/06 | Tristan Boyer Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/06 | August Holmgren Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 13/06 | Daniel Masur Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Francesco Forti vs Jay Clarke?
Our model gives 51% to Francesco Forti, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.