Tennis · Challenger Como · 01/09, 11:30

Prediction: Olle Wallin vs Johan Nikles

Team pages: Olle Wallin · Johan Nikles

Prediction summary
Winner
66% 34%
Olle Wallin Johan Nikles
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Olle Wallin 5-5 (W-L)
WLWLLWWWLL
Johan Nikles 6-4 (W-L)
WWLWLWLLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Olle Wallin 1583 · Johan Nikles 1510
Olle WallinJohan Nikles
Our model60%40%
Market71%29%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Olle Wallin (rating 1583 vs 1510).

Statistics

Olle WallinJohan Nikles
Win %70%50%
Win % · Clay 78% (9) 50% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.5-1.11.1-1.2
Games (G-P)12.6-11.410.2-11.5
Aces5.70.9
Double faults2.71.1
1st serve %74.4%64.6%
Break %28.3%38.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Olle Wallin

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
31/08 Andrea Colombo
Challenger Como · Clay
2-1 16-13 W
30/08 Niccolo Catini
Challenger Como · Clay
2-1 16-9 W
11/08 Carlos Taberner
Challenger Hamburg · Clay
1-2 12-17 L
10/08 Niklas Guttau
Challenger Hamburg · Clay
2-0 13-7 W
09/08 Christopher Papa
Challenger Hamburg · Clay
2-1 14-13 W
04/08 Andrea Guerrieri
Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
31/07 Jan Choinski
Challenger Bonn · Clay
0-2 9-13 L
29/07 Roberto Carballes Baena
Challenger Bonn · Clay
2-1 13-10 W
28/07 Lorenzo Giustino
Challenger Bonn · Clay
2-1 15-11 W
27/07 Matthew William Donald
Challenger Bonn · Clay
2-0 13-9 W

Johan Nikles

LLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
31/08 Lorenzo Rottoli
Challenger Como · Clay
2-1 16-16 W
30/08 Kasra Rahmani
Challenger Como · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
26/08 Florent Lagarrigue
M25 Lausanne
0-2 8-13 L
18/08 Henry Bernet
Challenger Sion · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
28/07 Alex Barrena
Challenger Bonn · Clay
1-2 12-15 L
27/07 Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Challenger Bonn · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
26/07 Amit Vales
Challenger Bonn · Clay
2-0 13-7 W
24/07 Yannik Kelm
M25 Metzingen
0-2 7-13 L
23/07 Niels Ratiu
M25 Metzingen
2-1 14-13 W
21/07 Dimitris Sakellaridis
M25 Metzingen
2-0 12-8 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Olle Wallin vs Johan Nikles?

Our model gives 66% to Olle Wallin, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.