Tennis · Challenger Como · 01/09, 13:00
Prediction: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Andrej Nedic
Team pages: Stefanos Sakellaridis · Andrej Nedic
Prediction summary
Winner
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Andrej Nedic
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Stefanos Sakellaridis
6-4 (W-L)
Andrej Nedic
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stefanos Sakellaridis 1552 · Andrej Nedic 1487
| Stefanos Sakellaridis | Andrej Nedic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stefanos Sakellaridis (rating 1552 vs 1487).
- Stefanos Sakellaridis dominates on serve: 9.6 aces and 42% break avg.
- Stefanos Sakellaridis is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Stefanos Sakellaridis makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Stefanos Sakellaridis | Andrej Nedic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-11.8 | 10.2-10.7 |
| Aces | 9.6 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 74% | 62.8% |
| Break % | 42% | 37.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Christopher O'Connell US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/08 | Luca Van Assche Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Taro Daniel Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 21/08 | Zizou Bergs Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 20/08 | Aleksandar Vukic Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/08 | Ugo Blanchet Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 18/08 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 17/08 | Karl Poling Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 13/08 | Titouan Droguet ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Martin Damm ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Andrej Nedic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Laurent Lokoli Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/08 | Filippo Francesco Garbero Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 24/08 | Juan Estevez Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 11/08 | Ergi Kirkin Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 28/07 | Hynek Barton Challenger Liberec · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Tom Gentzsch Challenger Tampere · Clay |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 21/07 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/07 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Keegan Smith Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Andrej Nedic?
Our model gives 57% to Stefanos Sakellaridis, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.