Tennis · Challenger Manacor · 01/09, 11:30
Prediction: Maximus Jones vs Oskari Paldanius
Team pages: Maximus Jones · Oskari Paldanius
Prediction summary
Winner
Maximus Jones
Oskari Paldanius
Estimated games
23.4
Recent form · 10 last
Maximus Jones
5-5 (W-L)
Oskari Paldanius
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maximus Jones 1511 · Oskari Paldanius 1524
| Maximus Jones | Oskari Paldanius | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Maximus Jones dominates on serve: 7.3 aces and 51.6% break avg.
Statistics
| Maximus Jones | Oskari Paldanius | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-12 | 12.9-12.1 |
| Aces | 7.3 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 73.4% | 61.5% |
| Break % | 51.6% | 58.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maximus Jones
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Alastair Gray Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 04/07 | Matthew Dellavedova M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 03/07 | Kokoro Isomura M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 02/07 | Ryota Tanuma M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 01/07 | Makoto Ochi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 17/06 | Hunter Heck M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Jangjun Kim M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/05 | Mukund Sasikumar Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 14/05 | Philip Sekulic Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 13/05 | Amit Vales Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
Oskari Paldanius
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 23/08 | Peter Makk Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/08 | Amit Vales M15 Turku |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 14/08 | Oscar Weightman M15 Turku |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 13/08 | Andrea Bacaloni M15 Turku |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/08 | Melios Efstathiou M15 Turku |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/08 | Ergi Kirkin Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 02/08 | Leo Raquillet Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 21/07 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 18/07 | Max Wiskandt M25 Kramsach |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maximus Jones vs Oskari Paldanius?
Our model gives 57% to Oskari Paldanius, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.