Tennis · Challenger Manacor · 01/09, 10:00

Prediction: Charles Broom vs Mathys Erhard

Team pages: Charles Broom · Mathys Erhard

Prediction summary
Winner
57% 43%
Charles Broom Mathys Erhard
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Charles Broom 8-2 (W-L)
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Mathys Erhard 8-2 (W-L)
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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Charles Broom 1564 · Mathys Erhard 1579
Charles BroomMathys Erhard
Our model48%52%
Market65%35%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Charles BroomMathys Erhard
Win %80%80%
Win % · Hard 80% (10) 80% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.7-0.51.8-0.6
Games (G-P)12.2-7.713.7-9.8
Aces4.25.9
Double faults23.7
1st serve %74%75.9%
Break %50%53.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Charles Broom

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
31/08 Hongjin Qi
Challenger Manacor · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
29/08 George Loffhagen
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
28/08 Oliver Tarvet
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
2-1 17-12 W
27/08 Max Basing
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
26/08 Patrick Brady
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
25/08 Leonardo Rossi
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
20/08 Oliver Tarvet
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
1-2 12-17 L
19/08 Alex Rybakov
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
18/08 Filip Peliwo
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
2-0 12-2 W
09/08 Oliver Tarvet
M25 Roehampton · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W

Mathys Erhard

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
31/08 Anton Shepp
Challenger Manacor · Hard
2-0 13-6 W
08/08 Joel Schwaerzler
Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard
1-2 16-16 L
07/08 Ivan Marrero Curbelo
Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
06/08 Damir Dzumhur
Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
04/08 Olaf Pieczkowski
Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard
2-1 18-13 W
26/07 Filip Jeff Planinsek
M25 Ollersbach
1-2 14-15 L
25/07 Andrej Martin
M25 Ollersbach
2-0 13-7 W
24/07 Jan Kumstat
M25 Ollersbach
2-1 14-14 W
23/07 Thilo Behrmann
M25 Ollersbach
2-0 12-6 W
22/07 Jonas Gundacker
M25 Ollersbach
2-0 12-6 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Charles Broom vs Mathys Erhard?

Our model gives 57% to Charles Broom, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.