Tennis · Challenger Plovdiv · 01/09, 09:00
Prediction: Thomas Faurel vs Giorgio Tabacco
Team pages: Thomas Faurel · Giorgio Tabacco
Prediction summary
Winner
Thomas Faurel
Giorgio Tabacco
Estimated games
23.1
Recent form · 10 last
Thomas Faurel
4-6 (W-L)
Giorgio Tabacco
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Thomas Faurel 1422 · Giorgio Tabacco 1465
| Thomas Faurel | Giorgio Tabacco | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Giorgio Tabacco (rating 1422 vs 1465).
Statistics
| Thomas Faurel | Giorgio Tabacco | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 20% (10) | 29% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.6 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-13 | 10.8-11.1 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 4.2 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 63.1% | 71% |
| Break % | 35.1% | 56.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Thomas Faurel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Prague · Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 13/08 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Facundo Mena Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/07 | Timofey Skatov Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 20/07 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Zug · Clay |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 13/07 | Miguel Damas ATP Bastad · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 12/07 | Elmer Moller ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/07 | Jerome Kym Challenger Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 8-14 | L |
| 29/06 | Igor Marcondes Challenger Troyes · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
Giorgio Tabacco
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Ergi Kirkin Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/08 | Radoslav Shandarov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/08 | Matthew William Donald Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 09/08 | Stefano D'Agostino Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Massimo Giunta M25 Fano |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 05/08 | Maximilian Figl M25 Fano |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 04/08 | Edoardo Betti M25 Fano |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/07 | Viktor Durasovic M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Denis Constantin Spiridon M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-11 | L |
| 20/07 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Thomas Faurel vs Giorgio Tabacco?
Our model gives 60% to Thomas Faurel, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.