Tennis · Challenger Plovdiv · 01/09, 09:00
Prediction: Oleksandr Ovcharenko vs Robert Strombachs
Team pages: Oleksandr Ovcharenko · Robert Strombachs
Prediction summary
Winner
Oleksandr Ovcharenko
Robert Strombachs
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Oleksandr Ovcharenko
6-4 (W-L)
Robert Strombachs
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Oleksandr Ovcharenko 1556 · Robert Strombachs 1536
| Oleksandr Ovcharenko | Robert Strombachs | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Oleksandr Ovcharenko | Robert Strombachs | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (5) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.5-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-9.9 | 10.7-9.1 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 74.3% | 70.2% |
| Break % | 40.1% | 49.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oleksandr Ovcharenko
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Franco Ribero Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/08 | Edoardo Cherie Ligniere Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/08 | Henry Bernet M25 Lausanne |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 27/08 | Felix Seres M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/08 | Arthur Laborde M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/08 | Benjamin Hassan Challenger Sion · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/08 | Dimitris Sakellaridis Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 16/08 | Petros Tsitsipas Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/08 | Matthew William Donald M25 Muttenz |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Kirill Kivattsev M25 Muttenz |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
Robert Strombachs
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Kai Wehnelt Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/08 | Dominik Matic Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 16/08 | Vincent Reisach M15 Warsaw |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 15/08 | Daniel De Jonge M15 Warsaw |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/08 | Leonardo Rossi M15 Warsaw |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 13/08 | Ammar Elamin M15 Warsaw |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/08 | Alejandro Mateo Berge Nourescu M15 Warsaw |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/07 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Kacper Szymkowiak Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Jannik Opitz M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oleksandr Ovcharenko vs Robert Strombachs?
Our model gives 62% to Oleksandr Ovcharenko, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.