Tennis · Challenger Manacor · 01/09, 10:00
Prediction: Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs Marek Gengel
Team pages: Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida · Marek Gengel
Prediction summary
Winner
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Marek Gengel
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
5-5 (W-L)
Marek Gengel
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida 1569 · Marek Gengel 1529
| Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | Marek Gengel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida (rating 1569 vs 1529).
Statistics
| Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | Marek Gengel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (6) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-11.3 | 10.8-10.2 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 73.2% | 74.9% |
| Break % | 45.4% | 31.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Christian Langmo Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/08 | Oliver Tarvet Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Oliver Tarvet Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 18/08 | Peter Makk Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/08 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 14/08 | Dylan Dietrich Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 12/08 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/08 | Florian Broska Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 31/07 | Federico Agustin Gomez Challenger Bonn · Clay |
1-2 | 17-16 | L |
| 30/07 | Henri Squire Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Marek Gengel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Prague · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 01/06 | Milos Karol Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 31/05 | Dusan Obradovic Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/05 | Jeremy Schifris M25 Louny · ~Clay |
1-0 | 7-5 | W |
| 13/05 | Karl Poling M25 Louny · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 25/04 | Alibek Kachmazov M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/04 | Vadym Ursu M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/04 | Alessandro Pecci M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 22/04 | Andriy Poritskyy M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 9-0 | W |
| 16/04 | Anton Arzhankin M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs Marek Gengel?
Our model gives 62% to Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.