Tennis · Challenger Manacor · 01/09, 10:00
Prediction: Mark Lajal vs Gabi Adrian Boitan
Team pages: Mark Lajal · Gabi Adrian Boitan
Prediction summary
Winner
Mark Lajal
Gabi Adrian Boitan
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Mark Lajal
6-4 (W-L)
Gabi Adrian Boitan
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mark Lajal 1551 · Gabi Adrian Boitan 1491
| Mark Lajal | Gabi Adrian Boitan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mark Lajal (rating 1551 vs 1491).
- Mark Lajal dominates on serve: 8.3 aces and 42.4% break avg.
- Mark Lajal is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Mark Lajal makes many double faults (5.3/match).
- Note: Gabi Adrian Boitan makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Mark Lajal | Gabi Adrian Boitan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-9.9 | 12.6-12.1 |
| Aces | 8.3 | 4.9 |
| Double faults | 5.3 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 75% | 73.8% |
| Break % | 42.4% | 33% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mark Lajal
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Motoharu Abe Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/08 | Jordan Lee US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 14/08 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Aleksandar Vukic ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 13/08 | Dalibor Svrcina ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 02/08 | Jeffrey John Wolf Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 01/08 | Keegan Rice Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/07 | Braden Shick Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/07 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 29/07 | Evan Zhu Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Gabi Adrian Boitan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Lui Maxted Challenger Manacor · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 25/08 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 20/08 | Lui Maxted Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Alastair Gray Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 17/08 | Christian Langmo Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/08 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 27/07 | Gabriel Debru Challenger Samsun · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 19/07 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Zug · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 16/07 | Semen Aginskiy M15 Slobozia |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 15/07 | Vlad Cristian Breazu M15 Slobozia |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mark Lajal vs Gabi Adrian Boitan?
Our model gives 68% to Mark Lajal, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.