Tennis · Challenger Manacor · 01/09, 20:24
Prediction: Ziga Sesko vs Alexandre Muller
Team pages: Ziga Sesko · Alexandre Muller
Prediction summary
Winner
Ziga Sesko
Alexandre Muller
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Ziga Sesko
8-2 (W-L)
Alexandre Muller
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ziga Sesko 1579 · Alexandre Muller 1465
| Ziga Sesko | Alexandre Muller | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ziga Sesko (rating 1579 vs 1465).
- Ziga Sesko is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Ziga Sesko | Alexandre Muller | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.5 | 0.8-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-8.3 | 9.8-12.6 |
| Aces | 5.4 | 3.5 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 80.4% | 66% |
| Break % | 44.4% | 31.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ziga Sesko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Michael Agwi M15 Trier |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/08 | Marcel Zielinski M15 Trier |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 13/08 | Luca Wiedenmann M15 Trier |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/08 | Maxime Chazal M15 Frankfurt |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 06/08 | Sven Corbinais M15 Frankfurt |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/08 | Felix Einig M15 Frankfurt |
2-0 | 8-5 | W |
| 02/08 | Erik Schiessl M15 Wels |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 01/08 | John Hallquist Lithen M15 Wels |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 31/07 | Matthias Ujvary M15 Wels |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 30/07 | Matic Kriznik M15 Wels |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Alexandre Muller
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Rei Sakamoto US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Laslo Djere US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 19/08 | Coleman Wong Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Guy Den Ouden Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Mili Poljicak Challenger San Marino · Clay |
1-2 | 18-20 | L |
| 29/07 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 27/07 | Stefano Napolitano Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/07 | Mariano Navone ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Alexander Shevchenko ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 29/06 | Tommy Paul Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 4-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ziga Sesko vs Alexandre Muller?
Our model gives 56% to Alexandre Muller, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.