Tennis · Challenger Manacor · 01/09, 20:24
Prediction: August Holmgren vs Felix Balshaw
Team pages: August Holmgren · Felix Balshaw
Prediction summary
Winner
August Holmgren
Felix Balshaw
Estimated games
23.9
Recent form · 10 last
August Holmgren
3-7 (W-L)
Felix Balshaw
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · August Holmgren 1489 · Felix Balshaw 1481
| August Holmgren | Felix Balshaw | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: August Holmgren makes many double faults (5.8/match).
- Note: Felix Balshaw makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| August Holmgren | Felix Balshaw | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.4 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.6-13.8 | 11.8-11.7 |
| Aces | 9.3 | 5.6 |
| Double faults | 5.8 | 4.6 |
| 1st serve % | 76.5% | 69.7% |
| Break % | 29.5% | 38.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
August Holmgren
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Andrea Guerrieri US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 29/07 | Braden Shick Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 24/07 | Liam Draxl Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 22/07 | Garrett Johns Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 19/07 | Aleksandar Vukic Challenger Granby · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 17/07 | Justin Boulais Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/07 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/07 | Yosuke Watanuki Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 08/07 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 24/06 | Jerome Kym Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Felix Balshaw
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 23/08 | Sebastian Gorzny ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 22/08 | Luca Pow ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/08 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 11/08 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
| 13/07 | Stefano Napolitano Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 10/07 | Florian Broska Challenger Liege · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Philip Henning Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/07 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 27/06 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in August Holmgren vs Felix Balshaw?
Our model gives 51% to August Holmgren, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.