Tennis · Challenger Manacor · 01/09, 20:24
Prediction: Elmer Moller vs Maks Kasnikowski
Team pages: Elmer Moller · Maks Kasnikowski
Prediction summary
Winner
Elmer Moller
Maks Kasnikowski
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Elmer Moller
6-4 (W-L)
Maks Kasnikowski
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Elmer Moller 1518 · Maks Kasnikowski 1496
| Elmer Moller | Maks Kasnikowski | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Elmer Moller makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Elmer Moller | Maks Kasnikowski | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 57% (7) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-11 | 11.6-12.1 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 4.3 |
| Double faults | 4.9 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 66.4% | 68.9% |
| Break % | 43.9% | 30.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Elmer Moller
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Coleman Wong US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 19/08 | Anton Matusevich Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Ivan Ivanov Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/08 | Rudolf Molleker Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Jerome Kym Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 07/08 | Carlos Taberner Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 06/08 | Raul Brancaccio Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 04/08 | Jamie Mackenzie Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/07 | Jamie Mackenzie Challenger Bonn · Clay |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Marko Topo Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Maks Kasnikowski
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 06/08 | Ivan Marrero Curbelo Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 04/08 | Philip Henning Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/07 | Frederico Ferreira Silva Challenger Liberec · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 25/07 | Otto Virtanen Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/07 | Hynek Barton Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 22/07 | Eero Vasa Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/07 | Louis Wessels Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/07 | Francesco Passaro ATP Bastad · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 10/07 | Jerome Kym Challenger Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Elmer Moller vs Maks Kasnikowski?
Our model gives 51% to Maks Kasnikowski, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.