Tennis · Challenger Manacor · 01/09, 20:24
Prediction: Daniil Glinka vs Daniel Rincon
Team pages: Daniil Glinka · Daniel Rincon
Prediction summary
Winner
Daniil Glinka
Daniel Rincon
Estimated games
24.2
Recent form · 10 last
Daniil Glinka
7-3 (W-L)
Daniel Rincon
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daniil Glinka 1559 · Daniel Rincon 1504
| Daniil Glinka | Daniel Rincon | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Daniil Glinka (rating 1559 vs 1504).
- Daniil Glinka dominates on serve: 9.8 aces and 58.3% break avg.
Statistics
| Daniil Glinka | Daniel Rincon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.9 | 1.2-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-10.6 | 13.2-14.5 |
| Aces | 9.8 | 6 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 77.8% | 68.8% |
| Break % | 58.3% | 37.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniil Glinka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Zsombor Piros US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 25/08 | Pedro Martinez US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/08 | Pedro Martinez Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/08 | Harold Mayot Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/08 | Elias Ymer Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/08 | Florent Bax Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 08/08 | Andrea Guerrieri Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
1-2 | 13-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Alexander Donski Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 05/08 | Amit Vales Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 03/08 | Fares Zakaria Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
Daniel Rincon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Tomas Barrios Vera US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Jordan Lee US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 24/08 | Titouan Droguet US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 04/08 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 27/07 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Challenger San Marino · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 22/07 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Zug · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 20/07 | Thomas Faurel Challenger Zug · Clay |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 11/07 | Jan Choinski Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/07 | Laslo Djere Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 08/07 | Sebastian Ofner Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daniil Glinka vs Daniel Rincon?
Our model gives 58% to Daniil Glinka, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.