Tennis · Challenger Manacor · 01/09, 20:24
Prediction: Max Basing vs Joel Schwaerzler
Team pages: Max Basing · Joel Schwaerzler
Prediction summary
Winner
Max Basing
Joel Schwaerzler
Estimated games
23.1
Recent form · 10 last
Max Basing
7-3 (W-L)
Joel Schwaerzler
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Max Basing 1539 · Joel Schwaerzler 1525
| Max Basing | Joel Schwaerzler | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Joel Schwaerzler dominates on serve: 6.1 aces and 41% break avg.
Statistics
| Max Basing | Joel Schwaerzler | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-10.4 | 12.3-12.8 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 6.1 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 69.6% | 72.9% |
| Break % | 22.8% | 41% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Max Basing
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Charles Broom Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Alec Deckers Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 13-16 | W |
| 24/08 | Christian Langmo Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/08 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 05/08 | Tiago Pereira Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/08 | Lucio Ratti Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 30/07 | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Challenger Samsun · Hard |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Sidharth Rawat Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/07 | Dominik Palan Challenger Segovia · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 11/07 | Henry Searle Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Joel Schwaerzler
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Andrea Guerrieri US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 24/08 | Gustavo Heide US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 19/08 | Kenta Miyoshi Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Andy Andrade Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 09/08 | Andrea Guerrieri Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/08 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 07/08 | Ilya Ivashka Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/08 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 04/08 | Jiri Cizek Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/07 | Martin Krumich Challenger Liberec · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Max Basing vs Joel Schwaerzler?
Our model gives 54% to Joel Schwaerzler, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.