Tennis · Challenger Manacor · 31/08, 13:00
Prediction: Luca Potenza vs Daniel Masur
Team pages: Luca Potenza · Daniel Masur
Prediction summary
Winner
Luca Potenza
Daniel Masur
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Luca Potenza
5-5 (W-L)
Daniel Masur
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luca Potenza 1479 · Daniel Masur 1518
| Luca Potenza | Daniel Masur | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Luca Potenza | Daniel Masur | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 44% (9) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-11.3 | 11.4-11.4 |
| Aces | 3 | 4.1 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 68.2% | 73.9% |
| Break % | 38.3% | 33.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luca Potenza
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Alec Deckers Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/08 | Aryan Shah M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 04/08 | Samuel Heredia M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 06/07 | Pietro Orlando Fellin Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 05/07 | Lorenzo Angelini Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 28/06 | Matthew William Donald Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Elmer Moller Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Kaito Uesugi Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/06 | Matei Varbanciu Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/06 | Fausto Tabacco M25 Milano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Daniel Masur
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Facundo Mena Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 25/08 | Petr Brunclik Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/08 | Arthur Nagel M25 Ueberlingen |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 22/08 | Maximilian Marterer M25 Ueberlingen |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/08 | David Fix M25 Ueberlingen |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/08 | Calvin Mueller M25 Ueberlingen |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/06 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/06 | Oskari Paldanius Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 13/06 | Jay Clarke Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luca Potenza vs Daniel Masur?
Our model gives 58% to Daniel Masur, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.