Tennis · Challenger Manacor · 31/08, 10:00
Prediction: Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg vs Izan Almazan Valiente
Team pages: Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg · Izan Almazan Valiente
Prediction summary
Winner
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
Izan Almazan Valiente
Estimated games
24
Recent form · 10 last
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
5-5 (W-L)
Izan Almazan Valiente
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg 1487 · Izan Almazan Valiente 1553
| Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | Izan Almazan Valiente | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Izan Almazan Valiente (rating 1487 vs 1553).
- Note: Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg makes many double faults (4.8/match).
- Note: Izan Almazan Valiente makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | Izan Almazan Valiente | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-12.8 | 13.6-12.1 |
| Aces | 6.4 | 5.2 |
| Double faults | 4.8 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 71.8% | 71.5% |
| Break % | 37.5% | 51.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Liberec · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Igor Marcondes Challenger Tampere · Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 21/07 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/07 | Jerome Kym Challenger Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 07/07 | Alexander Donski Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 03/07 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Lautaro Midon Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 29/06 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 24/06 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Gabriel Ghetu Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Izan Almazan Valiente
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Rodrigo Fernandes M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 19/08 | Diogo Morais M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 13/08 | Tristan McCormick M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 12/08 | Maxwell McKennon M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/08 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Benjamin Pietri M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 06/08 | Sergio Callejon Hernando M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/08 | Daniel De Jonge M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 04/08 | Tristan McCormick M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/07 | Akira Santillan Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg vs Izan Almazan Valiente?
Our model gives 51% to Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.