Tennis · Challenger Manacor · 31/08, 13:00
Prediction: Alastair Gray vs Maximus Jones
Team pages: Alastair Gray · Maximus Jones
Prediction summary
Winner
Alastair Gray
Maximus Jones
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alastair Gray
5-5 (W-L)
Maximus Jones
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alastair Gray 1463 · Maximus Jones 1499
| Alastair Gray | Maximus Jones | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Maximus Jones dominates on serve: 7.4 aces and 50.6% break avg.
Statistics
| Alastair Gray | Maximus Jones | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (5) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-10.9 | 12.4-12.3 |
| Aces | 5 | 7.4 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 73.7% | 73.3% |
| Break % | 37.3% | 50.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alastair Gray
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | George Loffhagen Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Gabi Adrian Boitan Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 17/08 | Emile Hudd Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 21/07 | Akira Santillan Challenger Segovia · Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 14/07 | Izan Almazan Valiente Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 11/07 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 10/07 | Yi Zhou Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Patrick Brady Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 06/07 | Oscar Weightman Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/06 | Matteo Arnaldi ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Maximus Jones
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Matthew Dellavedova M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 03/07 | Kokoro Isomura M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 02/07 | Ryota Tanuma M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 01/07 | Makoto Ochi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 17/06 | Hunter Heck M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Jangjun Kim M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/05 | Mukund Sasikumar Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 14/05 | Philip Sekulic Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 13/05 | Amit Vales Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 11/05 | Sidharth Rawat Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alastair Gray vs Maximus Jones?
Our model gives 62% to Alastair Gray, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.