Tennis · Challenger Manacor · 31/08, 11:30
Prediction: Anton Shepp vs Mathys Erhard
Team pages: Anton Shepp · Mathys Erhard
Prediction summary
Winner
Anton Shepp
Mathys Erhard
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Anton Shepp
3-7 (W-L)
Mathys Erhard
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Anton Shepp 1455 · Mathys Erhard 1554
| Anton Shepp | Mathys Erhard | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mathys Erhard (rating 1455 vs 1554).
- Mathys Erhard is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Anton Shepp | Mathys Erhard | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.5 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-11.5 | 13.4-10.5 |
| Aces | 4.2 | 4.9 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 71.8% | 74.5% |
| Break % | 32.2% | 48.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Anton Shepp
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Lui Maxted Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Mark Ceban Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Evan Zhu Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 20/07 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Alexander Rozin Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 16/07 | Coleman Wong Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 14/07 | Jack Kennedy Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 12/06 | Niels McDonald M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/06 | William Rejchtman Vinciguerra M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-3 | W |
| 10/06 | Oskar Jansson M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
Mathys Erhard
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Joel Schwaerzler Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 07/08 | Ivan Marrero Curbelo Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/08 | Damir Dzumhur Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/08 | Olaf Pieczkowski Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 26/07 | Filip Jeff Planinsek M25 Ollersbach |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 25/07 | Andrej Martin M25 Ollersbach |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/07 | Jan Kumstat M25 Ollersbach |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 23/07 | Thilo Behrmann M25 Ollersbach |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/07 | Jonas Gundacker M25 Ollersbach |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Titouan Droguet Challenger Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Anton Shepp vs Mathys Erhard?
Our model gives 65% to Mathys Erhard, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.