Tennis · Challenger Manacor · 31/08, 10:00
Prediction: Gabi Adrian Boitan vs Lui Maxted
Team pages: Gabi Adrian Boitan · Lui Maxted
Prediction summary
Winner
Gabi Adrian Boitan
Lui Maxted
Estimated games
23.4
Recent form · 10 last
Gabi Adrian Boitan
7-3 (W-L)
Lui Maxted
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Gabi Adrian Boitan
0–1
Lui Maxted
(1 last)
- 20 Aug0-2 9-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gabi Adrian Boitan 1468 · Lui Maxted 1542
| Gabi Adrian Boitan | Lui Maxted | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lui Maxted (rating 1468 vs 1542).
- Lui Maxted is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Gabi Adrian Boitan 0–1 Lui Maxted (1).
- Note: Gabi Adrian Boitan makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Gabi Adrian Boitan | Lui Maxted | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (6) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.5 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-13.2 | 13.4-11.5 |
| Aces | 4.5 | 3 |
| Double faults | 5.1 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 71.6% | 68.5% |
| Break % | 30.1% | 46.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.4
H2H · Gabi Adrian Boitan 0 – 1 Lui Maxted (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gabi Adrian Boitan 0–1 Lui Maxted
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08/26 Challenger Roehampton | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gabi Adrian Boitan
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 20/08 | Lui Maxted Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Alastair Gray Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 17/08 | Christian Langmo Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/08 | Ilia Simakin Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 27/07 | Gabriel Debru Challenger Samsun · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 19/07 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Zug · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 16/07 | Semen Aginskiy M15 Slobozia |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 15/07 | Vlad Cristian Breazu M15 Slobozia |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 21/06 | Dan Alexandru Tomescu M15 Constanta · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
Lui Maxted
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Johannus Monday Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 24/08 | Anton Shepp Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/08 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Gabi Adrian Boitan Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/08 | Patrick Brady Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 18/08 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 08/08 | Charles Broom M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 07/08 | Mark Ceban M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 06/08 | Marcus Walters M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 05/08 | Rhys Lawlor M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gabi Adrian Boitan vs Lui Maxted?
Our model gives 61% to Lui Maxted, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.