Tennis · Challenger Como · 31/08, 11:30
Prediction: Andrey Chepelev vs Fausto Tabacco
Team pages: Andrey Chepelev · Fausto Tabacco
Prediction summary
Winner
Andrey Chepelev
Fausto Tabacco
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Andrey Chepelev
7-3 (W-L)
Fausto Tabacco
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Andrey Chepelev
0–1
Fausto Tabacco
(1 last)
- 04 Aug1-2 19-19L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Andrey Chepelev 1545 · Fausto Tabacco 1558
| Andrey Chepelev | Fausto Tabacco | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Andrey Chepelev 0–1 Fausto Tabacco (1).
- Note: Fausto Tabacco makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Andrey Chepelev | Fausto Tabacco | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-7.9 | 11.2-10.4 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 68.5% | 62.4% |
| Break % | 47.4% | 36.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
H2H · Andrey Chepelev 0 – 1 Fausto Tabacco (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Andrey Chepelev 0–1 Fausto Tabacco
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08/21 M15 Xativa | 1-2 | 19-19 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Andrey Chepelev
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Niccolo Ciavarella Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/08 | Henry Bernet M25 Lausanne |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/08 | Lorenzo Carboni M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/08 | Nino Ehrenschneider M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/08 | Tymur Bieldiugin M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/08 | Luca Parenti M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 18/08 | Luca Staeheli Challenger Sion · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/08 | Stefan Horia Haita M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 14/08 | Bor Artnak M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 13/08 | Aleksandar Tolev M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Fausto Tabacco
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Matteo Covato Challenger Como · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 29/06 | Daniele Rapagnetta Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/06 | Francesco Forti Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 27/06 | Federico Arnaboldi M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/06 | Matthew William Donald M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-4 | W |
| 25/06 | Federico Iannaccone M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Leonardo Malgaroli M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 20/06 | Georgii Kravchenko M25 Milano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Petr Nesterov M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 17/06 | Luca Potenza M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Andrey Chepelev vs Fausto Tabacco?
Our model gives 55% to Andrey Chepelev, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.