Tennis · Challenger Plovdiv · 31/08, 11:00
Prediction: Nikita Mashtakov vs Jannik Opitz
Team pages: Nikita Mashtakov · Jannik Opitz
Prediction summary
Winner
Nikita Mashtakov
Jannik Opitz
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Nikita Mashtakov
6-4 (W-L)
Jannik Opitz
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nikita Mashtakov 1602 · Jannik Opitz 1494
| Nikita Mashtakov | Jannik Opitz | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nikita Mashtakov (rating 1602 vs 1494).
- Nikita Mashtakov is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Jannik Opitz makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Nikita Mashtakov | Jannik Opitz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (1) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.9 | 1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 15.3-12.2 | 10.4-10.6 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 5.1 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 63.9% | 71.8% |
| Break % | 39.5% | 28.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nikita Mashtakov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Valentin Basel Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 29/08 | Daniel Michalski M25 Poznan |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/08 | Vladyslav Orlov M25 Poznan |
2-1 | 18-8 | W |
| 27/08 | Kirill Kivattsev M25 Poznan |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 26/08 | Tom Zeuch M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/08 | Thilo Behrmann M15 Mistelbach |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 22/08 | Marcel Zielinski M15 Mistelbach |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 21/08 | Alexander Wagner M15 Mistelbach |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 20/08 | Kabeer Kapasi M15 Mistelbach |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/08 | Leyton Rivera M15 Mistelbach |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
Jannik Opitz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Stefan Horia Haita Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 10/08 | Oleksii Krutykh Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 09/08 | Ryan Nijboer Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 02/08 | Matej Dodig Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 19/07 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 06/07 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 05/07 | Raphael Perot Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/07 | Yannik Kelm M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Kimmer Coppejans M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/07 | Nico Hipfl M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nikita Mashtakov vs Jannik Opitz?
Our model gives 66% to Nikita Mashtakov, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.