Tennis · Challenger Como · 31/08, 10:00
Prediction: Johan Nikles vs Lorenzo Rottoli
Team pages: Johan Nikles · Lorenzo Rottoli
Prediction summary
Winner
Johan Nikles
Lorenzo Rottoli
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Johan Nikles
5-5 (W-L)
Lorenzo Rottoli
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Johan Nikles
1–0
Lorenzo Rottoli
(1 last)
- 01 Jul2-1 20-17W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Johan Nikles 1485 · Lorenzo Rottoli 1476
| Johan Nikles | Lorenzo Rottoli | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Johan Nikles 1–0 Lorenzo Rottoli (1).
Statistics
| Johan Nikles | Lorenzo Rottoli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (5) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-11.4 | 11.3-12.3 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 1.1 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 62.8% | 62.2% |
| Break % | 38.8% | 46.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
H2H · Johan Nikles 1 – 0 Lorenzo Rottoli (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Johan Nikles 1–0 Lorenzo Rottoli
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07/26 M25 Rabat | 2-1 | 20-17 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Johan Nikles
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Kasra Rahmani Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Florent Lagarrigue M25 Lausanne |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 18/08 | Henry Bernet Challenger Sion · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Alex Barrena Challenger Bonn · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 27/07 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Amit Vales Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/07 | Yannik Kelm M25 Metzingen |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/07 | Niels Ratiu M25 Metzingen |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 21/07 | Dimitris Sakellaridis M25 Metzingen |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/07 | Pierre Antoine Tailleu M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
Lorenzo Rottoli
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Giuseppe La Vela Challenger Como · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/08 | Andrej Martin M15 Vienna |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Matthias Ujvary M15 Vienna |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/08 | Samuele Seghetti M25 Lesa |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Alessandro Spadola M25 Lesa |
2-1 | 15-6 | W |
| 05/08 | Gabriele Crivellaro M25 Fano |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Alessandro Spadola M25 Fano |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 15/07 | Daniele Rapagnetta M15 Gubbio |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 05/07 | Oleg Prihodko Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Johan Nikles M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
1-2 | 17-20 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Johan Nikles vs Lorenzo Rottoli?
Our model gives 57% to Johan Nikles, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.