Tennis · Challenger Plovdiv · 31/08, 11:00
Prediction: Oleksandr Ovcharenko vs Franco Ribero
Team pages: Oleksandr Ovcharenko · Franco Ribero
Prediction summary
Winner
Oleksandr Ovcharenko
Franco Ribero
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Oleksandr Ovcharenko
5-5 (W-L)
Franco Ribero
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Oleksandr Ovcharenko 1529 · Franco Ribero 1483
| Oleksandr Ovcharenko | Franco Ribero | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oleksandr Ovcharenko (rating 1529 vs 1483).
Statistics
| Oleksandr Ovcharenko | Franco Ribero | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (4) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-10.6 | 10.5-10.2 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 71.9% | 60.9% |
| Break % | 41.4% | 58% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oleksandr Ovcharenko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Edoardo Cherie Ligniere Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/08 | Henry Bernet M25 Lausanne |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 27/08 | Felix Seres M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/08 | Arthur Laborde M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/08 | Benjamin Hassan Challenger Sion · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/08 | Dimitris Sakellaridis Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 16/08 | Petros Tsitsipas Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/08 | Matthew William Donald M25 Muttenz |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Kirill Kivattsev M25 Muttenz |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 30/07 | Cezar Gabriel Papoe M25 Pitesti |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Franco Ribero
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Danial Spasov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/08 | Daniel Michalski M25 Poznan |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 16/08 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Sion · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Nikita Mashtakov Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Radu Mihai Papoe Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 03/08 | Dragos Nicolae Cazacu Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/08 | William Rejchtman Vinciguerra Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 06/07 | Leo Raquillet Challenger Liege · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 05/07 | Alessio Basile Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/06 | Pavel Lagutin Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oleksandr Ovcharenko vs Franco Ribero?
Our model gives 69% to Oleksandr Ovcharenko, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.