Tennis · Challenger Plovdiv · 31/08, 10:00
Prediction: Giorgio Tabacco vs Ergi Kirkin
Team pages: Giorgio Tabacco · Ergi Kirkin
Prediction summary
Winner
Giorgio Tabacco
Ergi Kirkin
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Giorgio Tabacco
5-5 (W-L)
Ergi Kirkin
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Giorgio Tabacco
1–0
Ergi Kirkin
(1 last)
- 28 Feb2-1 15-12W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Giorgio Tabacco 1452 · Ergi Kirkin 1522
| Giorgio Tabacco | Ergi Kirkin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ergi Kirkin (rating 1452 vs 1522).
- Head-to-head: Giorgio Tabacco 1–0 Ergi Kirkin (1).
Statistics
| Giorgio Tabacco | Ergi Kirkin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 29% (7) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-10.9 | 12.1-10.6 |
| Aces | 4 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 72.7% | 73.6% |
| Break % | 51.4% | 57.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
H2H · Giorgio Tabacco 1 – 0 Ergi Kirkin (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Giorgio Tabacco 1–0 Ergi Kirkin
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/02/24 M15 Villena | 2-1 | 15-12 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Giorgio Tabacco
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Radoslav Shandarov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/08 | Matthew William Donald Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 09/08 | Stefano D'Agostino Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Massimo Giunta M25 Fano |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 05/08 | Maximilian Figl M25 Fano |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 04/08 | Edoardo Betti M25 Fano |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/07 | Viktor Durasovic M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Denis Constantin Spiridon M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-11 | L |
| 20/07 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 19/07 | Iiro Vasa Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Ergi Kirkin
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Togan Tokac Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/08 | Mika Brunold Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Tymur Bieldiugin M25 Ueberlingen |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 18/08 | David Eichenseher M25 Ueberlingen |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/08 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 10/08 | Federico Zeballos Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/08 | Boris Arias Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/08 | Ilya Ivashka Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 03/08 | Oskari Paldanius Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 02/08 | Kacper Szymkowiak Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Giorgio Tabacco vs Ergi Kirkin?
Our model gives 58% to Ergi Kirkin, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.