Tennis · Challenger Como · 30/08, 11:30
Prediction: Lorenzo Rottoli vs Giuseppe La Vela
Team pages: Lorenzo Rottoli · Giuseppe La Vela
Prediction summary
Winner
Lorenzo Rottoli
Giuseppe La Vela
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Lorenzo Rottoli
3-7 (W-L)
Giuseppe La Vela
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lorenzo Rottoli 1450 · Giuseppe La Vela 1495
| Lorenzo Rottoli | Giuseppe La Vela | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Giuseppe La Vela (rating 1450 vs 1495).
Statistics
| Lorenzo Rottoli | Giuseppe La Vela | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (3) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.6 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-12.9 | 11.2-9.9 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 2 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 61.9% | 72.2% |
| Break % | 50% | 52.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lorenzo Rottoli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Andrej Martin M15 Vienna |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Matthias Ujvary M15 Vienna |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/08 | Samuele Seghetti M25 Lesa |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Alessandro Spadola M25 Lesa |
2-1 | 15-6 | W |
| 05/08 | Gabriele Crivellaro M25 Fano |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Alessandro Spadola M25 Fano |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 15/07 | Daniele Rapagnetta M15 Gubbio |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 05/07 | Oleg Prihodko Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Johan Nikles M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
1-2 | 17-20 | L |
| 27/06 | Yassine Dlimi M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
Giuseppe La Vela
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Sebastian Sorger M25 Maribor |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Nik Mikovic M25 Maribor |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 25/08 | Denis Constantin Spiridon M25 Maribor |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/08 | Sebastian Dominko M25 Slovenj Gradec |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 20/08 | Jan Kupcic M25 Slovenj Gradec |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/08 | Henry Best M25 Slovenj Gradec |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 27/07 | Samuele Pieri Challenger Bonn · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 26/07 | Sergey Fomin Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 28/06 | Petr Nesterov Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Leonardo Borrelli M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lorenzo Rottoli vs Giuseppe La Vela?
Our model gives 61% to Giuseppe La Vela, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.