Tennis · Challenger Como · 30/08, 13:00
Prediction: Andrea Colombo vs Gianmarco Ferrari
Team pages: Andrea Colombo · Gianmarco Ferrari
Prediction summary
Winner
Andrea Colombo
Gianmarco Ferrari
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Andrea Colombo
8-2 (W-L)
Gianmarco Ferrari
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Andrea Colombo 1557 · Gianmarco Ferrari 1537
| Andrea Colombo | Gianmarco Ferrari | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 23% | 77% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Andrea Colombo dominates on serve: 7.1 aces and 60.8% break avg.
Statistics
| Andrea Colombo | Gianmarco Ferrari | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-9.3 | 11.1-9.7 |
| Aces | 7.1 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 76% | 66.6% |
| Break % | 60.8% | 41.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Andrea Colombo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Goncalo Marques M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 21/08 | Alberto Barroso Campos M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 20/08 | Matias Reyniak M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 19/08 | Robin Bertrand M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 13/08 | Goncalo Marques M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 12/08 | Francisco Faria M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/08 | Pedro Liborio M25 Idanha-A-Nova |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 06/08 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 05/08 | Yago Castellanos M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/08 | Noah Regas M25 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Gianmarco Ferrari
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Samuele Seghetti M25 Lesa |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 10/08 | Nikita Mashtakov Challenger Todi · Clay |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 09/08 | Edoardo Betti Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/06 | Giorgio Tabacco M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 17/06 | Alessandro Spadola M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/06 | Leonardo Borrelli M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 10/06 | Roberto Carballes Baena Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Sergio Callejon Hernando Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 08/06 | Petr Nesterov Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 07/06 | Gabriele Bosio Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Andrea Colombo vs Gianmarco Ferrari?
Our model gives 63% to Gianmarco Ferrari, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.