Tennis · Challenger Como · 30/08, 13:00
Prediction: Olle Wallin vs Niccolo Catini
Team pages: Olle Wallin · Niccolo Catini
Prediction summary
Winner
Olle Wallin
Niccolo Catini
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Olle Wallin
6-4 (W-L)
Niccolo Catini
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Olle Wallin 1545 · Niccolo Catini 1476
| Olle Wallin | Niccolo Catini | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Olle Wallin (rating 1545 vs 1476).
Statistics
| Olle Wallin | Niccolo Catini | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (9) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.2 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-11.8 | 10-11.2 |
| Aces | 6.9 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 72% | 60.8% |
| Break % | 31.3% | 45.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Olle Wallin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Carlos Taberner Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 10/08 | Niklas Guttau Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/08 | Christopher Papa Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 04/08 | Andrea Guerrieri Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 31/07 | Jan Choinski Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Roberto Carballes Baena Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 28/07 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 27/07 | Matthew William Donald Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/07 | Vincent Dullinger Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 09/07 | Valentin Royer Challenger Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
Niccolo Catini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Michael Savano M25 Poznan |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Tiago Pereira M25 Poznan |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 18/08 | Alexander Weis M25 Lesa |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 06/08 | Leonardo Primucci M25 Fano |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Iiro Vasa M25 Fano |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/08 | Gioele Cerelli M25 Fano |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/07 | Ilya Snitari M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 08/07 | Brendan McDonald M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 14/06 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Sebastiano Cocola M15 Messina · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-9 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Olle Wallin vs Niccolo Catini?
Our model gives 73% to Olle Wallin, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.